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Red123
448159.5
169067.0
59948.5
Blue114
5957.1
909711.5
400943.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18193050150200250123114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#12
67.02.4
60.057.6
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
red by 9.9
59
#13
57.11.1
49.350.4
Auto11.2
Teleop36.6
End8.8
Second
4481
#34
59.52.4
53.050.6
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
red by 16.2
4009
#37
43.31.1
37.438.4
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End6.1
Third
599
#30
48.52.4
52.249.8
Auto13.2
Teleop27.4
End7.5
red by 37.0
9097
#76
11.51.3
11.312.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed