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Red135
903122.3
300575.6
478653.9
Blue180
10362.2
438162.1
445157.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153182100200250135180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.60.8
71.570.6
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
red by 13.4
103
#3
62.20.5
53.854.3
Auto12.6
Teleop40.4
End8.5
Second
4786
#26
53.90.8
49.148.3
Auto16.0
Teleop29.3
End7.9
blue by 8.2
4381
#18
62.10.5
64.264.8
Auto17.7
Teleop35.3
End7.3
Third
9031
#66
22.30.8
27.927.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
blue by 35.6
57.90.5
52.452.9
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned