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Red167
353951.1
111466.1
283449.7
Blue124
190234.1
555735.8
255147.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310350150200250167124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.10.2
58.558.7
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
red by 18.7
2551
#48
47.41.2
43.744.9
Auto11.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Second
51.10.2
53.954.1
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End9.5
red by 15.3
5557
#64
35.81.2
31.933.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End7.4
Third
2834
#38
49.70.2
45.946.1
Auto13.5
Teleop28.9
End6.8
red by 15.6
1902
#68
34.11.2
30.231.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed