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Red150
542743.1
442255.3
255147.4
Blue158
903122.3
519957.8
746156.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813850100200150158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#40
55.30.1
57.056.9
Auto13.5
Teleop32.2
End8.4
blue by 2.5
5199
#24
57.81.0
56.958.0
Auto12.9
Teleop34.9
End8.3
Second
2551
#48
47.40.1
48.348.2
Auto11.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
blue by 9.3
7461
#22
56.71.0
53.954.9
Auto14.6
Teleop31.4
End8.5
Third
5427
#63
43.10.1
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.4
End8.0
red by 20.9
9031
#66
22.31.0
24.125.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned