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Red161
283039.9
96838.8
448159.5
Blue143
438162.1
70223.8
912854.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331470100200300400161143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#34
59.51.7
56.057.6
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
blue by 2.6
4381
#18
62.10.4
60.460.8
Auto17.7
Teleop35.3
End7.3
Second
2830
#58
39.91.7
35.937.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.7
End7.3
blue by 15.0
9128
#32
54.90.4
51.852.3
Auto12.6
Teleop36.5
End5.2
Third
968
#35
38.81.7
34.336.0
Auto9.6
Teleop21.6
End8.1
red by 15.0
702
#75
23.80.4
24.725.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed