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Red154
745138.3
441555.4
478653.9
Blue153
558647.4
288154.5
555735.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148150120130140160170180154153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#42
55.40.9
54.054.9
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
red by 0.9
2881
#52
54.50.9
54.855.7
Auto11.5
Teleop33.9
End7.3
Second
4786
#26
53.90.9
52.253.1
Auto16.0
Teleop29.3
End7.9
red by 6.5
5586
#53
47.40.9
47.848.7
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.0
Third
7451
#69
38.30.9
34.835.7
Auto11.7
Teleop20.9
End5.7
red by 2.5
5557
#64
35.80.9
36.036.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned