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Red149
170833.0
598534.3
300575.6
Blue158
238342.8
5957.1
457132.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136136110120130140150160170149158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.61.2
71.272.4
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
red by 18.5
59
#13
57.11.8
56.157.9
Auto11.2
Teleop36.6
End8.8
Second
5985
#55
34.31.2
27.128.3
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.2
blue by 8.5
2383
#54
42.81.8
44.045.7
Auto9.7
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Third
1708
#73
33.01.2
33.034.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End9.1
red by 1.0
4571
#59
32.01.8
26.528.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned