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Red140
15731.1
40156.8
725840.6
Blue147
169067.0
360335.4
765747.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134146050100200250300350140147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#67
56.80.5
60.761.2
Auto13.9
Teleop37.6
End3.7
blue by 10.1
1690
#12
67.00.4
60.360.7
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
Second
7258
#15
40.60.5
36.937.3
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End8.3
blue by 6.9
7657
#49
47.50.4
45.245.6
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
Third
157
#74
31.10.5
30.230.7
Auto11.8
Teleop14.6
End5.2
blue by 4.3
3603
#44
35.40.4
30.931.3
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned