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Red153
346770.0
277135.3
46161.7
Blue180
598759.4
516664.2
6765.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169189100150200250153180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#10
70.00.6
69.869.3
Auto16.8
Teleop41.5
End8.5
red by 4.4
67
#11
65.60.0
68.168.1
Auto16.8
Teleop39.3
End7.4
Second
461
#45
61.70.6
62.261.6
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
blue by 2.4
5166
#16
64.20.0
62.162.1
Auto17.4
Teleop35.6
End7.7
Third
2771
#70
35.30.6
33.733.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.8
End5.3
blue by 24.1
5987
#33
59.40.0
57.557.5
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsMissed