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Red175
111466.1
801355.7
162241.9
Blue126
803361.2
719747.8
903122.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17613150100150200250175126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.10.7
64.365.0
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
red by 4.9
8033
#19
61.20.5
55.855.3
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
55.70.7
54.855.5
Auto13.8
Teleop32.2
End8.0
red by 7.9
47.80.5
47.547.0
Auto8.9
Teleop29.1
End8.2
Third
1622
#62
41.90.7
46.046.7
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End3.7
red by 19.6
9031
#66
22.30.5
25.124.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned