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Red116
5957.1
680057.7
903122.3
Blue118
670223.0
353450.3
233757.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15013580100120160180200220240116118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.71.6
57.656.0
Auto12.3
Teleop36.9
End8.4
red by 0.5
2337
#41
57.20.7
55.654.9
Auto13.3
Teleop34.6
End7.9
Second
59
#13
57.11.6
57.956.3
Auto11.2
Teleop36.6
End8.8
red by 6.9
3534
#36
50.30.7
49.448.7
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
Third
9031
#66
22.31.6
24.623.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
blue by 0.7
6702
#65
23.00.7
23.422.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsMissed81%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed