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Red199
445157.9
94850.1
159162.1
Blue183
516664.2
803361.2
746156.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175174150160170180190200210199183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#28
62.10.9
59.860.8
Auto17.2
Teleop34.4
End8.4
blue by 2.0
5166
#16
64.21.2
62.163.3
Auto17.4
Teleop35.6
End7.7
Second
57.90.9
55.856.7
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End8.5
blue by 3.3
8033
#19
61.21.2
55.356.5
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Third
948
#20
50.10.9
52.153.0
Auto12.7
Teleop29.1
End8.4
blue by 6.6
7461
#22
56.71.2
54.956.2
Auto14.6
Teleop31.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned