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Red138
83651.6
96838.8
46161.7
Blue153
288154.5
801355.7
263055.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159164100200250138153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#45
61.70.8
61.660.9
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
red by 6.0
55.70.0
55.555.5
Auto13.8
Teleop32.2
End8.0
Second
836
#39
51.60.8
51.951.2
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
blue by 3.7
2630
#14
55.30.0
50.350.3
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8
Third
968
#35
38.80.8
36.035.2
Auto9.6
Teleop21.6
End8.1
blue by 15.7
2881
#52
54.50.0
55.755.7
Auto11.5
Teleop33.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned