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Red173
347665.1
116523.6
360335.4
Blue87
283449.7
909711.5
170833.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279605015020017387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.6
60.961.5
Auto16.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
red by 15.5
2834
#38
49.70.8
49.248.4
Auto13.5
Teleop28.9
End6.8
Second
3603
#44
35.40.6
31.331.9
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 2.4
1708
#73
33.00.8
34.333.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End9.1
Third
1165
#50
23.60.6
23.123.7
Auto10.3
Teleop9.5
End4.6
red by 12.1
9097
#76
11.50.8
10.79.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned