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Red145
353648.4
59948.5
40156.8
Blue137
219447.3
598534.3
283039.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411450100150200250145137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#67
56.80.2
59.259.1
Auto13.9
Teleop37.6
End3.7
red by 9.6
2194
#47
47.31.3
44.445.6
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End10.5
Second
599
#30
48.50.2
46.145.9
Auto13.2
Teleop27.4
End7.5
red by 8.6
2830
#58
39.91.3
38.539.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.7
End7.3
Third
3536
#29
48.40.2
47.046.8
Auto11.9
Teleop28.5
End7.0
red by 14.1
5985
#55
34.31.3
30.131.4
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned