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Red187
746156.7
94850.1
291074.5
Blue214
803361.2
169067.0
263055.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185183100150200250300187214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#51
74.50.2
74.374.5
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End8.7
red by 7.5
1690
#12
67.00.8
65.866.7
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
Second
7461
#22
56.70.2
56.656.7
Auto14.6
Teleop31.4
End8.5
blue by 4.5
8033
#19
61.20.8
60.060.8
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Third
948
#20
50.10.2
49.950.1
Auto12.7
Teleop29.1
End8.4
blue by 5.2
2630
#14
55.30.8
54.255.0
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8