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Red205
347665.1
46161.7
167878.0
Blue209
300575.6
83651.6
111466.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204187100150250300205209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.00.4
79.278.8
Auto18.6
Teleop43.3
End11.7
red by 2.4
3005
#17
75.60.5
75.175.6
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
Second
65.10.4
66.165.7
Auto16.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
blue by 1.0
66.10.5
65.666.1
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
Third
461
#45
61.70.4
62.462.0
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
red by 10.1
836
#39
51.60.5
51.151.6
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4