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Red182
263055.3
169067.0
803361.2
Blue175
159162.1
271454.3
448159.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18617750100150200250300182175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#12
67.00.2
66.766.8
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
red by 4.9
1591
#28
62.10.2
62.062.1
Auto17.2
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Second
8033
#19
61.20.2
60.861.0
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
red by 1.7
4481
#34
59.50.2
59.459.5
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
Third
2630
#14
55.30.2
55.055.1
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8
red by 1.1
2714
#60
54.30.2
54.154.3
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4