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Red212
347665.1
46161.7
167878.0
Blue183
803361.2
169067.0
263055.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204182150250212183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.00.0
78.878.8
Auto18.6
Teleop43.3
End11.7
red by 11.0
1690
#12
67.00.2
66.867.0
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
Second
65.10.3
65.766.0
Auto16.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
red by 4.0
8033
#19
61.20.2
61.061.2
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Third
461
#45
61.70.0
62.062.0
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
red by 6.4
2630
#14
55.30.2
55.155.3
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8