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Red196
169067.0
719747.8
803361.2
Blue161
131865.7
261448.0
346770.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175187100150200250196161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#12
67.00.6
65.365.8
Auto16.6
Teleop40.0
End8.4
blue by 3.0
3467
#10
70.00.5
70.570.0
Auto16.8
Teleop41.5
End8.5
Second
8033
#19
61.20.6
59.560.0
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
blue by 4.6
1318
#31
65.70.5
66.265.7
Auto16.1
Teleop39.6
End7.2
Third
47.80.6
47.247.8
Auto8.9
Teleop29.1
End8.2
blue by 0.2
2614
#61
48.00.5
48.548.0
Auto15.2
Teleop25.4
End6.3