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Red195
448159.5
271454.3
159162.1
Blue166
40156.8
598759.4
438162.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17318150100150200250300195166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#28
62.10.4
60.761.1
Auto17.2
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Level
4381
#18
62.10.3
62.462.1
Auto17.7
Teleop35.3
End7.3
Second
4481
#34
59.50.4
58.158.5
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
red by 0.1
5987
#33
59.40.3
59.759.4
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
Third
2714
#60
54.30.4
52.853.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
blue by 2.6
401
#67
56.80.3
57.156.8
Auto13.9
Teleop37.6
End3.7