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Red61
582815.7
424019.6
100219.8
Blue75
241521.4
747018.7
873636.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507602040601001201401606175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#28
19.80.7
15.616.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End6.7
blue by 16.7
36.50.5
30.631.1
Auto10.0
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Second
4240
#15
19.60.7
16.517.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
blue by 1.9
2415
#18
21.40.5
19.119.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Third
5828
#24
15.70.7
18.419.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End5.1
blue by 3.1
7470
#13
18.70.5
18.018.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed