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Red71
513024.8
710411.9
177150.4
Blue119
584815.0
682947.5
884911.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976805015071119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.41.1
45.344.2
Auto15.9
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 3.0
47.52.0
44.446.3
Auto14.0
Teleop27.2
End6.2
Second
5130
#12
24.81.1
26.725.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End7.4
red by 9.8
5848
#29
15.02.0
10.712.7
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Third
7104
#27
11.91.1
15.714.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.0
red by 0.3
8849
#25
11.62.0
12.614.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed