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Red44
334427.8
692525.4
76768.6
Blue112
565113.6
363524.3
691948.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649405015044112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3344
#10
27.81.3
27.325.9
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End7.7
blue by 20.8
48.71.5
45.847.3
Auto15.1
Teleop24.3
End9.2
Second
25.41.3
23.622.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.5
red by 1.0
24.31.5
21.222.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
7676
#22
8.61.3
13.211.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 5.0
5651
#17
13.61.5
17.519.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned