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Red70
332919.0
334427.8
926032.1
Blue121
141437.4
873636.5
694419.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8398406012014016018070121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#14
32.10.3
32.432.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End5.7
blue by 5.3
37.40.7
36.337.0
Auto9.5
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
3344
#10
27.80.3
28.227.8
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End7.7
blue by 8.7
36.50.7
35.436.1
Auto10.0
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Third
3329
#26
19.00.3
19.419.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End6.1
blue by 0.7
6944
#19
19.70.7
18.619.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.4