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Red123
473014.0
691948.7
682947.5
Blue117
141437.4
873636.5
694419.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11995406080140160180123117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
48.248.2
Auto15.1
Teleop24.3
End9.2
red by 11.3
37.40.4
37.037.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
47.50.1
47.047.0
Auto14.0
Teleop27.2
End6.2
red by 10.9
36.50.4
36.136.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Third
4730
#20
14.00.1
13.613.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
blue by 5.6
6944
#19
19.70.4
19.219.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End5.4