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Red167
377028.2
571262.2
283248.9
Blue158
168451.9
721142.0
924539.4
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147139050100200250300167158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.4
61.862.2
Auto13.6
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 10.3
51.90.6
51.351.9
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End11.0
Second
48.90.4
48.548.9
Auto12.5
Teleop28.1
End8.5
red by 6.9
7211
#21
42.00.6
41.442.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.2
End7.0
Third
3770
#31
28.20.4
27.728.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End7.3
blue by 11.2
9245
#19
39.40.6
38.839.4
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End7.7