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Red107
663113.5
553433.8
89428.2
Blue164
168451.9
721142.0
924539.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68143050100200250107164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#11
33.80.7
33.033.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.5
End7.0
blue by 18.1
51.90.6
49.149.7
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End11.0
Second
894
#22
28.20.7
27.528.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.9
End2.8
blue by 13.8
7211
#21
42.00.6
39.239.9
Auto13.8
Teleop21.2
End7.0
Third
6631
#32
13.50.7
12.813.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 25.9
9245
#19
39.40.6
36.637.3
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End7.7