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Red131
999827.5
504620.4
828628.1
Blue82
150423.9
607123.9
675335.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759105015020025013182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.2
26.527.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End7.2
blue by 7.5
35.60.0
35.735.6
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End8.7
Second
9998
#10
27.52.1
24.826.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 3.6
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End6.9
Third
5046
#18
20.41.2
18.820.0
Auto11.4
Teleop4.6
End4.4
blue by 3.5
1504
#20
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End8.4