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Qual 22023 Hawaii Regional
Red38
388026.4
372133.2
885318.1
Blue62
209010.6
427047.2
901912.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73660501001502002503862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#18
33.23.3
22.9→19.5
Auto7.3
Teleop18.7
End7.1
blue by 14.0
4270
#1
47.20.1
27.0→27.0
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
Second
3880
#22
26.42.7
25.1→22.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 13.5
9019
#34
12.90.1
19.7→19.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
8853
#35
18.13.3
19.9→16.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End4.3
red by 7.5
2090
#30
10.60.1
15.9→15.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed