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Qual 32023 Hawaii Regional
Red64
243839.4
915817.3
289619.3
Blue102
246535.2
880629.5
388135.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606905010015064102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#11
39.40.2
23.3→23.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
red by 4.1
3881
#25
35.42.5
21.2→23.8
Auto8.0
Teleop22.5
End4.8
Second
2896
#37
19.30.2
17.3→17.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 15.9
2465
#9
35.22.8
27.7→30.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
Third
9158
#33
17.30.4
17.3→16.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
blue by 12.2
8806
#26
29.54.2
15.0→19.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsEarned