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Red95
247719.1
300828.5
246535.2
Blue71
901912.9
690920.5
461362.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691050501502009571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.7
29.731.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
blue by 27.0
62.21.5
59.958.4
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
Second
3008
#14
28.51.7
20.922.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 8.0
6909
#21
20.52.5
18.716.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.4
Third
2477
#20
19.12.9
18.521.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
red by 6.2
9019
#34
12.92.5
15.212.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed