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Qual 232023 Hawaii Regional
Red102
915817.3
755126.6
425356.0
Blue72
372133.2
861512.9
388135.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9062020408010012014016010272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#3
56.01.4
49.1→50.4
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
red by 20.6
3881
#25
35.40.7
25.9→26.5
Auto8.0
Teleop22.5
End4.8
Second
7551
#23
26.62.3
16.8→19.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.7
blue by 6.6
3721
#18
33.21.1
21.0→22.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.7
End7.1
Third
9158
#33
17.32.3
15.5→17.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
red by 4.4
8615
#36
12.91.1
15.0→16.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed