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Qual 362023 Hawaii Regional
Red114
772422.0
388026.4
246535.2
Blue80
300828.5
244345.3
915817.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8289406010012014011480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#9
35.22.4
31.4→33.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
blue by 10.1
2443
#8
45.30.2
41.2→41.0
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
Second
3880
#22
26.42.4
23.3→25.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
blue by 2.1
3008
#14
28.50.2
23.9→23.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
7724
#24
22.04.1
22.7→26.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
red by 4.7
9158
#33
17.30.3
17.4→17.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed