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Qual 372023 Hawaii Regional
Red119
885318.1
388135.4
427047.2
Blue132
244520.7
425356.0
585142.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211550100150119132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#1
47.22.2
35.8→38.0
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
blue by 8.8
4253
#3
56.01.2
50.4→51.7
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
Second
3881
#25
35.42.2
26.5→28.8
Auto8.0
Teleop22.5
End4.8
blue by 7.1
5851
#4
42.51.2
35.4→36.6
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
Third
8853
#35
18.13.7
18.5→22.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End4.3
blue by 2.6
2445
#32
20.72.1
17.7→19.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned