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Qual 402023 Hawaii Regional
Red113
234815.9
461362.2
388026.4
Blue89
243839.4
247719.1
36846.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131025015020011389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
62.20.2
58.9→59.2
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
red by 15.5
368
#5
46.70.9
38.7→37.8
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Second
3880
#22
26.40.2
25.7→25.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
blue by 13.0
2438
#11
39.40.9
38.7→37.9
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
Third
2348
#28
15.90.4
19.8→20.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 3.3
2477
#20
19.10.9
19.3→18.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned