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Red123
901912.9
246535.2
585142.5
Blue81
901223.6
289619.3
244520.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954702040608012014016012381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.1
36.637.7
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
red by 18.9
9012
#15
23.62.3
16.118.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.6
End8.4
Second
35.21.1
33.934.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
red by 14.5
2445
#32
20.72.3
19.722.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Third
9019
#34
12.91.8
12.314.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 6.4
2896
#37DQ
19.32.3
14.516.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned