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Qual 422023 Hawaii Regional
Red104
772422.0
35951.9
763237.2
Blue112
300828.5
425356.0
670415.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258950100150200104112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#7
51.92.2
49.5→47.3
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
blue by 4.1
4253
#3DQ
56.01.6
51.7→53.3
Auto16.3
Teleop29.8
End9.8
Second
7632
#13
37.23.7
36.6→32.9
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
red by 8.6
3008
#14
28.51.6
23.8→25.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
7724
#24
22.03.7
26.8→23.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
red by 6.3
6704
#29
15.82.7
12.5→15.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned