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Qual 432023 Hawaii Regional
Red154
388135.4
388237.8
244345.3
Blue23
915817.3
861512.9
885318.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11650010015020015423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#8
45.32.6
41.0→43.6
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
red by 27.2
8853
#35
18.13.6
22.2→18.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Second
3882
#6
37.82.6
30.3→32.8
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
red by 20.5
9158
#33
17.33.6
17.1→13.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Third
3881
#25
35.42.6
28.8→31.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.5
End4.8
red by 22.5
8615
#36
12.93.6
15.7→12.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed