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Qual 442023 Hawaii Regional
Red82
244117.1
887123.7
243839.4
Blue118
427047.2
481727.4
755126.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8392406010012014082118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#11
39.40.3
37.9→38.2
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
blue by 7.7
4270
#1
47.22.2
38.0→40.2
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
Second
8871
#16
23.70.2
20.6→20.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.8
blue by 3.7
4817
#27
27.42.2
26.9→29.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Third
2441
#31
17.10.3
20.1→20.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.5
blue by 9.5
7551
#23
26.63.4
20.4→23.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned