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Qual 482023 Hawaii Regional
Red127
880629.5
427047.2
247719.1
Blue97
763237.2
388026.4
861512.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94732040608012014016012797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#1
47.21.8
40.2→42.0
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
red by 10.0
7632
#13
37.22.7
32.9→35.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
Second
8806
#26
29.52.8
26.6→29.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
red by 3.1
3880
#22
26.41.7
25.9→27.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
2477
#20
19.12.8
18.4→21.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
red by 6.3
8615
#36
12.92.7
12.1→14.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned