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Qual 492023 Hawaii Regional
Red129
461362.2
244345.3
670415.8
Blue91
850323.4
388135.4
585142.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132885010015020012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
62.20.4
59.2→59.6
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
red by 19.7
5851
#4
42.50.2
37.7→37.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
Second
2443
#8
45.30.4
43.6→44.0
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
red by 9.9
3881
#25
35.40.2
31.4→31.6
Auto8.0
Teleop22.5
End4.8
Third
6704
#29
15.80.6
15.2→15.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 7.7
8503
#19
23.40.3
19.0→19.3
Auto10.9
Teleop4.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned