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Red49
209010.6
234815.9
244520.7
Blue88
252241.0
690920.5
772422.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50940204060801201401604988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#32
20.70.9
22.021.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
blue by 20.3
2522
#12
41.00.4
40.540.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Second
2348
#28
15.90.8
18.417.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 6.2
7724
#24
22.00.6
22.322.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
Third
2090
#30
10.60.8
12.011.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 9.9
6909
#21
20.50.6
19.419.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned