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Red110
880629.5
872532.9
915817.3
Blue83
247719.1
244117.1
763237.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808360709010011011083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#17
32.93.6
28.031.6
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6
blue by 4.2
7632
#13
37.20.1
35.635.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
Second
8806
#26
29.53.3
29.432.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
red by 10.4
2477
#20
19.10.1
21.221.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Third
9158
#33
17.33.3
17.821.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
red by 0.2
2441
#31
17.10.1
20.520.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned