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Red91
670415.8
388237.8
243839.4
Blue84
289619.3
372133.2
755126.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9971501509184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#11
39.40.1
38.238.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
red by 6.2
3721
#18
33.20.8
30.531.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.7
End7.1
Second
37.80.1
35.635.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End8.7
red by 11.2
7551
#23
26.60.8
23.724.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.7
Third
6704
#29
15.80.1
15.815.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 3.6
2896
#37
19.30.8
16.016.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed