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Red54
861512.9
481727.4
244520.7
Blue128
388026.4
244345.3
35951.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59137010015020054128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4817
#27
27.40.7
29.128.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End6.3
blue by 24.4
359
#7
51.90.3
47.147.4
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
Second
2445
#32
20.71.1
21.220.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
blue by 24.6
45.30.3
44.044.3
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End7.0
Third
8615
#36
12.91.1
14.813.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
blue by 13.6
3880
#22
26.40.3
27.728.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned