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Qual 552023 Hawaii Regional
Red122
246535.2
461362.2
850323.4
Blue138
427047.2
252241.0
36846.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12213580100160180200122138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
62.20.4
59.6→59.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.1
End10.4
red by 15.0
4270
#1
47.20.5
42.1→42.6
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End9.3
Second
2465
#9
35.20.4
34.9→35.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
blue by 11.5
368
#5
46.70.8
42.3→43.1
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Third
8503
#19
23.40.5
22.0→22.5
Auto10.9
Teleop4.1
End8.4
blue by 17.5
2522
#12
41.00.5
40.9→41.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned