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Red49
901912.9
850323.4
915817.3
Blue52
244117.1
388026.4
690920.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657520401001204952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8503
#19
23.41.1
24.623.6
Auto10.9
Teleop4.1
End8.4
blue by 3.0
3880
#22
26.41.1
27.025.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Second
9158
#33
17.31.1
19.918.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
blue by 3.2
6909
#21
20.51.4
19.618.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.4
Third
9019
#34
12.91.1
17.516.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 4.2
2441
#31
17.11.4
22.020.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed