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Red137
585142.5
372133.2
36846.7
Blue104
763237.2
300828.5
388135.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279550150200137104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
46.71.9
42.644.5
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End7.7
red by 9.5
7632
#13
37.20.9
34.935.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End5.3
Second
42.51.5
40.041.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
red by 7.1
3881
#25
35.40.7
32.333.0
Auto8.0
Teleop22.5
End4.8
Third
3721
#18
33.21.8
32.634.3
Auto7.3
Teleop18.7
End7.1
red by 4.7
3008
#14
28.50.7
26.327.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed