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Qual 672023 Hawaii Regional
Red111
872532.9
35951.9
887123.7
Blue96
244520.7
246535.2
243839.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110985015020011196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#7
51.90.6
47.0→47.6
Auto14.9
Teleop28.2
End8.8
red by 12.4
2438
#11
39.40.2
39.8→40.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.6
End7.8
Second
8725
#17
32.90.8
33.4→34.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End7.6
blue by 2.3
2465
#9
35.20.2
34.6→34.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End8.7
Third
8871
#16
23.70.6
21.4→22.0
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.8
red by 3.1
2445
#32
20.70.2
18.8→19.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned